DOI: 10.5176/2251-1911_CMCGS42
Authors: Siew-Pang Chan and Priscilla Yang
Abstract: A regression model is developed based on the beta distribution bounded within (a, b), where. The model is applied to forecast the U.S. presidential election results. The forecast is compared with that of ordinary least squares, robust regression and generalized linear model with gamma distribution. In view of its flexibility and theoretical justification, the proposed beta regression should serve as an alternative tool to the more familiar regression models.
Keywords: beta distribution, beta regression, GLM
